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Week 5 - Media Buying in 2026: data-driven decisions, evolving buyer roles, and new training skills

  • Jan 28, 2026
  • 14 min

Show notes

What the episode covers

🎙️ What does media buying really look like in 2026 when algorithms, modeled signals, and real-time optimization are calling the shots, and CMOs are done obsessing over vanity ROAS dashboards at midnight?

In this episode of The Checkout Point, hosts Max and team sit down with veteran marketer and data scientist Stewart Pratt to unpack the future of media buying for eCommerce brands and performance marketers. From the evolution of data-driven decision making to the new, P&L-aware media buyer role and what next-generation media buyer training needs to look like, this conversation gives media buyers, CMOs, and growth leaders a clear roadmap for running profitable ad campaigns in an increasingly automated world. Listeners will learn how to use real-time signals, creative testing, and clean data to guide platforms toward true profitability instead of just chasing cheap clicks.

  • 🎯 Understand how data-driven decisions evolved from gut feeling to model-driven optimization and what that means for attribution, ROAS, and real-time bidding in 2026
  • 💡 Learn why the media buyer role is shifting from button-click operator to strategic consultant who understands brand P&L, unit economics, and customer lifetime value
  • 📈 Discover how to align media spend with profitability instead of vanity metrics by focusing on margin, contribution profit, and the real impact of every campaign
  • 🚀 Explore the new skill set for modern media buyers including behavioral economics, creative strategy, CRO thinking, and interpreting modeled signals from ad platforms
  • ✨ Hear war stories from Amazon and Walmart style environments where every impression is judged on one question: did this actually move the needle on real money

✨ If you care about ROI, eCommerce growth, smarter media spend, and building a high-performing media buying team for 2026, hit follow, subscribe to The Checkout Point, and share this episode with your performance marketing or CMO peers. Leave a review with your favorite insight from the conversation and help more operators discover practical, no-fluff strategies for profitable media buying.

Timeline

In this episode

7 moments worth skipping to. The timecodes match the player above.

  1. 7:00AI Eats The TacticsStewart argues that by 2026, 70–80% of tactical media-buying decisions will be automated by AI, leaving humans to win purely on judgment and business context.
  2. 8:40Return To RelationshipsHe predicts media buyers will shift from button-pushers to true consultants, designing unique, relationship-driven placements instead of just filling programmatic inventory.
  3. 10:40Know The BusinessStewart insists future media buyers must deeply understand clients’ business models, margins, and consumer behavior, or they’ll be unable to guide real growth.
  4. 15:00Weekly Reports Are DeadHe warns that relying on weekly reports is a career risk, because decision cycles are moving from weekly to hourly and slow decision-making destroys margins.
  5. 16:00Speed Beats TargetingThe hosts frame ‘speed as the new targeting,’ comparing top media buyers to portfolio managers reallocating millions in real time instead of just tweaking bids.
  6. 18:30Don’t Trust ROAS AloneStewart stresses cross-validating platform ROAS with cash in the bank, CRM, retention, and refund data to avoid being fooled by pretty dashboards.
  7. 21:00Are You Just Expensive?The episode’s core challenge: if you can’t explain your media plan in terms of payback window and contribution margin, you’re not senior—you’re just expensive.

Quick answers

Straight from the episode

The questions this one settles, without the listen.

How is media buying expected to change by 2026 according to this episode?
The episode argues that by 2026, media buying will be driven primarily by real-time, modeled signals rather than manual tweaks in ad managers. Algorithms will handle bid optimization, so human buyers will focus more on strategy, data quality, and interpreting performance in the context of margins and unit economics.
What does the shift from ‘I think this works’ to ‘the model said no’ mean for marketers?
It means intuition and surface-level metrics are being replaced by decisions grounded in machine-driven models. Marketers will need to trust and interrogate modeled data, understand how signals feed those models, and move away from anecdotal or gut-based decision-making.
How is the role of a media buyer evolving in 2026?
The media buyer role is shifting from in-platform button-clicking—like building lookalike audiences—to acting more like a consultant who understands brand P&L, product viability, and data hygiene. Their value comes from aligning campaigns with business economics, not just managing ad dashboards.
Why is understanding unit economics and P&L so important for media buyers now?
Because algorithms are already optimizing for clicks and conversions, the differentiator is whether those conversions are profitable. Media buyers who understand product margins, contribution profit, and overall P&L can make smarter decisions about budgets, bids, and creative that actually grow the business instead of just improving vanity metrics like ROAS.
What new skills should media buyers be trained on by 2026?
The episode highlights behavioral economics, creative testing frameworks, CRO-style thinking, and deep familiarity with unit economics as key training areas. These skills help buyers generate better inputs for algorithms and design campaigns that are both high-performing and profitable.
Why do the hosts say the ‘here’s a course, now run $1M in ads’ era is over?
They’ve seen that quick-hit courses produce operators who can click buttons but don’t understand data, economics, or testing. That leads to wasted budget disguised as “learning.” The future demands deeper, more rigorous training focused on profitability, not just platform mechanics.

Transcript

The full conversation

Every word of the episode, 2,074 of them, in the order they were said.

Read the transcriptHide the transcript

Welcome to The Checkout Point, Your quick dive into This week's eCommerce buzz With

me, Alex, powered by Blikket.

These 20 minutes pack The latest trends, news And insights.

Letss navigate The digital marketplace together.

Ready?

Letss go!

Welcome back to The Checkout Point, New week, New way to break Your brain about eCommerce.

Hey Max And Hey everyone listening!

This One Is for The media buyers, The CMOs And honestly anyone staring At a ROAS dashboard

At 11pm wondering If The number even means anything anymore.

Chuckling, So all of us.

Today Wevee got Stewart Pratt to unpack What media buying actually looks Like In 2026,

where real-time modelled signals are doing The heavy lifting instead of just dashboards.

Yeah, Weree asking What changed In The last year, Whatss about to change next year,

And who actually survives When The machines are optimizing every bid In real-time without

tanking Your margins In The process.

Right.

First SEGMENT, Weree talking evolution of data-driven decisions, And Imm genuinely

excited about This One.

We went from I think This works to The model said no, And That shift's been years In

The making for me.

Then Welll dig into The media buyer role itself, How it's shifting from button clicking

inside ad managers to being more Like a consultant who has to understand brand PLL, Not just

CPM, Because honestly Thatss where The game actually Is.

Exactly.

Less, Whatss our lookalike audience, And more, Is This product actually solid And How

do We prove it With clean data?

Thatss The CRO mindset Ivee been preaching since my eCommerce days, now applied to

media buying.

And finally, Welll hit media buyer training In 2026.

Behavioral economics, creative testing, understanding Your client's actual unit economics.

The stuff That separates people who run campaigns from people who run profitable ones.

Yeah, The era of here's a course, go run a million bucks In budget Is dead.

I spent years In CRO watching That blow up, Thatss just budget waste disguised As learning.

Seriously.

Illl bring In war stories from my Amazon And Walmart days where We obsessed over One

KPI.

Did This media spend actually move The needle on profitability?

Not vanity metrics.

Real money.

Wild concept.

Actually making money instead of just burning cash.

Novel idea, I know.

I know, radical concept.

But If you care about ROI, team skill development, And Not just ad spend volume In 2026, Youree

going to want to hear What Stuart has to say.

Letss get into it.

This Is The stuff Ivee been nerding out on for years.

First up, How data-driven decisions actually evolved And What That means for Your next

campaign.

We want to hear from you.

Submit questions via The web form In The description or give us a call At 747-293-4612 And leave

Your question.

Dontt be shy.

Our AI assistant makes it super easy.

Hello, How are you doing?

Imm doing great.

Thanks for asking.

Welcome to The show, Stuart.

With 25 years In marketing And data science, What are The most significant shifts you have

seen In How agencies approach consumer data?

Wow, Thatss a really great question.

I mean, over The last 20 years, The thing Ivee really noticed Is much more familiarity

With data, much more comfort With data, And being able to use data to drive data-driven

decisions.

When I First got into This game, you know, it was really difficult to get people to really

buy into data-backed decisions, data-driven media optimizations And media placements.

But over time, Wevee really become an industry That Is comfortable With data And relies on

data to make some very difficult decisions, But also make those decisions very fast.

The Speed of decision making Is fascinating. How do you see The role of The media buyer

evolving by 2026 As data becomes even more integrated into The process?

Yeah, I think over The next year, The role of The media buyer Is more of a media consultant,

more of a communications planner. I see The role of The media buyer shifting to One Which Is

focused more on helping guide brands And guide clients And their teams to really think about

building truly integrated media plans And really focused on driving business growth.

And Thatss a little bit different from The past When media buyers And planners,

They really focused on implementing a media plan That potentially The client or They had

agreed upon, But Not As much As a consultant, more As a implementer of The media buy, Right?

With a few relatively interesting ideas added In, it became much more of a perfunctory type role

And really was focused a lot on reporting And optimization. And I think those goals of reporting

And optimization, focusing on How We optimize specific placements, How We optimize creative,

Thatss really moving away. Weree letting algorithms run That process. Weree letting

automated reporting do some of The job of keeping clients And teams up to date on data And

information, allowing algorithms to find The Right audiences to optimize towards The optimal audience,

really focused on allowing those parts of The process to be automated through technology,

Right? The delivery portion. But The strategy portion, cramming up With really creative

opportunities for media placement. I see That As being really The next phase.

In some ways, it's a return to How media buying And planning was maybe 15 years ago When it was

directly purchased through relationships With companies, Right? The media buyer had a direct

relationship With The publisher And could identify or create inventory opportunities

And create unique placements. As We moved to programmatic, We got away from That a bit.

We moved more towards The media buyer And planner, really just making sure That inventory

was available And coming up With media plans That Were integrated But weren't necessarily unique.

I think Weree moving back to a place where The media buyer has That ability to begin to think

about unique placements, unique executions, And to become a Real consultant to brands on How They

can grow their business, Not just sell a product. That Is a profound shift toward a more strategic

And consultative approach. How do you think This return to unique, relationship-based placements

will change The way media buyers are trained or The skills They need to prioritize?

I think media buyers need to prioritize more than ever a Real understanding of client business.

They need to understand The business model That The client works With. They need to understand

more about their specific audience And really understand about consumer behavior.

One of The things That We moved away from for a while was having media buyers focus on

behavioral economics, focusing on How consumers buy, why They buy,

What are The moments In Which We can engage them. We did a lot of consumer mapping 15,

20 years ago, But We moved away from That a bit When We really focused on just

most media Is going to go through social media search. We limited where We placed

media, where We placed creative, And How We delivered communications. We really narrowed

That down And limited it. I think One of The skills That media buyers are going to need to

develop Is to go back to developing That ability to understand consumers, to do more research

into consumers, to understand a broader array of media When They are engaging With brands.

Ultimately, developing The skill of being a consultant, of providing consultative

support for clients And teams And brands Is going to be really critical.

Part of That, As I mentioned, Is understanding their business. How does The business make money?

What attracts consumers to That business? How can I be a partner In a brand's growth,

more than just thinking about How I can place a particular piece of creative for maximum reach?

Okay, I did Not expect to walk away from That feeling

slightly terrified for every slow media buyer on earth.

Yeah, Stewart basically said If you need a weekly report to make a decision,

Youree done by 2026. At scale operations, That bottleneck alone kills Your margins.

Speed Is The New targeting. The way He framed it, media buyers moving

from button pushers to real-time portfolio managers, That hit me. Youree Not just

Optimizing ads. Youree reallocating millions Like a trader watching a live market.

And With, What did He say, 70-80% of tactical decisions getting automated by AI,

The human edge becomes judgment And business context, Not who can tweak bids faster.

Exactly. The machines do The What, The media buyer owns The why And So What.

If Youree still arguing about Which lookalike audience to use In 2026,

The algorithm already ate Your lunch And Your dessert.

And sent you The bill.

There it Is.

What really stuck With me was his Point on training.

He said future media buyers will be more Like consultants or many CMOs.

Youree expected to understand margin structure, LTV, cash flow, The Real business levers.

Thatss The ops mindset I lived At Walmart And Amazon.

Yes. He basically said, If you can't explain Your media plan In terms of payback window

And contribution margin, Youree Not senior. Youree just expensive.

I felt That.

I remember early on, my big KPI was lowering CPC.

I had clients who didn't care Because it wasn't moving revenue or profit.

Stewartss saying, In 2026, That gap won't be tolerated.

Your KPIs have to map straight to The PNL or Youree just moving decimal points.

And they'll expect you to prove it In Real time.

I loved his line about dashboards going from reporting What happened

to arguing for What should happen next.

Thatss a massive mindset shift.

Which ties to his data Point about decisions moving from weekly to hourly.

Youree Not waiting for end-of-month ROS.

Youree hunting leading indicators, conversion velocity,

cohort behavior, refund rates As a profit signal, And adjusting on The fly.

The part That surprised me was his warning about overfitting to The dashboard.

Like, Yes, everything's data-driven, But he's seeing The best media buyers In 2026

push back on pretty numbers That Dontt line up With What sales Is feeling on The ground.

He called it cross-validating Your truth, Which I loved.

Dontt just trust platform ROAS.

Validate it With actual cash In The bank, CRM data, And retention.

I learned That lesson The hard way At scale.

So, If We had to boil it down, move faster,

think bigger, And stop hiding behind surface-level metrics.

And start training media buyers Like business strategists,

Not ad-ops robots. Thatss where The Real competitive edge lives In 2026.

Alright, Letss wrap it There.

Stick around, Weree heading into The OUTRO,

And Welll share How to start leveling up Your media buying before 2026 gets here.

Alright, We should probably land This plane before I start A-B testing The OUTRO, too.

Please Dontt.

That shift from button clickers to strategic partners?

Thatss What I watched happen At Amazon And Walmart When operations started owning The PLL.

Thatss The headline for me.

Yeah, totally.

Like, If Your value Is, I know where The buttons are, AI Is coming for Your lunch,

Is, I know where The buttons are, AI Is coming for Your lunch.

But If Your value Is decisions, context, And creative testing,

Thatss The CRO stuff I spent years living for. And Youree fine.

Exactly. One sentence takeaway?

The media buyers who win are The ones who move from dashboards to decisions

And tie every move back to ROI. Thatss Not optional anymore.

So, If This episode got you thinking about whether Youree a button clicker

or a strategist, hit subscribe, share This With That One ad nerd In Your Slack,

leave a review, And keep it Real.

Yeah, And If Youree listening on Your commute or In The gym,

mentally note to hit subscribe And drop a review When Youree back At Your desk.

Seriously, those help us keep bringing guests Like Stuart who actually know their numbers.

Thanks for hanging out With us on The Checkout Point.

Wevee got some Wild stuff coming up on where all This AI-driven buying goes next,

And Imm asking The tough questions about who actually controls The margins.

So, basically, Dontt blank.

Dontt blank, Dontt overspend, And keep Your margins honest.

Perfect combo. Welll see you next time.

Until next time.

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