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Diddy's Appeal: Can Acquittal Still Mean Prison?

  • Sep 9, 2026
  • 18 min

Show notes

What the episode covers

Sean Combs was acquitted of racketeering and sex trafficking charges, yet still faces fifty months in prison — and his lawyers say that's unconstitutional. Hosts Becca and Miles look at the December 2025 appeal filing and the April 9 Second Circuit oral argument, asking how a judge can rely on conduct a jury explicitly rejected. They walk through the mechanics of acquitted-conduct sentencing, the defense's 'thirteenth juror' argument, and attorney Alexandra Shapiro's claim of 'serious constitutional concerns,' while noting the relief sought is narrow and specific to this case. The episode also covers Judge Nardini's response, the prosecution's discretion argument, and the ongoing civil suits, including a dismissed NBCUniversal defamation case and a pending May 2027 trial.

Listeners get a clear breakdown of a legal gray area that could affect far more than one celebrity case — where the line sits between what a jury decides and what a judge can still punish. Becca and Miles ultimately land in different places on whether this practice is a loophole or a legitimate part of federal sentencing, and neither will guess how the Second Circuit rules.

Timeline

In this episode

8 moments worth skipping to. The timecodes match the player above.

  1. 0:15Introduction
  2. 1:34The Paradox at Sentencing
  3. 3:45The Defense's Case Against the Sentence
  4. 6:50The Constitutional Argument
  5. 9:34The Turn: A Panel That Wouldn't Tip Its Hand
  6. 12:23The Trail of Civil Suits
  7. 14:21Verdict: Loophole or Lifeline?
  8. 17:08Outro

Quick answers

Straight from the episode

The questions this one settles, without the listen.

What is Sean Combs' legal team arguing in his April 9 appeal?
Combs' lawyers filed a late-December 2025 brief calling his sentencing treatment 'harsh' and are seeking both his release and a full reversal, arguing the judge improperly relied on acquitted conduct at sentencing.
What is acquitted-conduct sentencing and why is it controversial?
It's when a judge factors in allegations a jury rejected by using a lower preponderance-of-evidence standard rather than the jury's verdict, with no jury check on that call. Combs' defense argues this let the judge effectively punish him for charges he was acquitted of.
What is the 'thirteenth juror' argument in the Combs appeal?
It's the constitutional framing used by Combs' attorney Shapiro, who raised 'serious constitutional concerns' about a judge acting like an extra juror by relying on rejected allegations. The relief sought is narrow, however, aimed only at vacating this specific sentence rather than setting a broad rule for future cases.
How did the Second Circuit panel react during the April 9 hearing?
The panel gave little indication of how it would rule. Judge Nardini called the case 'exceptionally difficult' and there's no set timeline for a written ruling, leaving the outcome genuinely uncertain.
What civil lawsuits is Combs still facing?
A defamation suit against NBCUniversal was dismissed, but a balcony-restraint civil trial is pending for May 2027, leaving a long runway for additional filings or developments before it goes to trial.
Does an acquittal still matter if a judge uses the underlying conduct at sentencing?
Yes. Even when acquitted conduct influences the sentence, the acquittal still carries legal weight because the judge cannot officially treat it as a conviction on those charges, even though the conduct still affects the sentencing outcome.

Transcript

The full conversation

Every word of the episode, 2,841 of them, in the order they were said.

Read the transcriptHide the transcript

Becca HartwellOkay, so get this. 12 jurors sit through weeks of testimony and they say, "Not guilty." Racketeering, gone. Sex trafficking, gone.

MilesAnd Sean Combs still walked out of that courtroom with 50 months hanging over him.

Becca Hartwell50 months for stuff a jury just said didn't happen.

MilesWelcome to federal sentencing.

Becca HartwellWait, wait, I'm Becca.

MilesI'm Miles.

Becca HartwellThis is Star Witness.

MilesAnd today, we've got a genuine legal head-scratcher because his lawyers are calling this unconstitutional.

Becca HartwellThey might have a point. A judge can lean on conduct a jury rejected, and that's exactly what happened here.

MilesHow is that even allowed?

Becca HartwellThat's the question we're chasing.

MilesWe're going straight into the sentencing hearing transcript. It's basically our evidence file for this whole episode.

Becca HartwellWord for word, judge's own language.

MilesPlot twist, the word he kept reaching for was one the jury specifically threw out.

Becca HartwellOh, you're gonna love this part. There's a whole Second Circuit oral argument, a 13th juror fight, and a pile of civil suits still trailing him.

MilesTwo things can be true at once, a not guilty verdict and a prison sentence.

Becca HartwellExactly the paradox.

MilesSo let's see what his lawyers actually put on paper, because from the sound of it, they didn't file this one lightly.

Becca HartwellSo the filing lands right before Christmas, December 24th, and Combs' lawyers go straight for the judge.

MilesHarsh is basically the word they use.

Becca HartwellRight. The Associated Press reported that his legal team told the Second Circuit he was treated harshly at sentencing by the federal judge.

MilesHarshly meaning what, though?

Becca HartwellMeaning the judge leaned on conduct the jury threw out to land on that number.

MilesEvery defense lawyer says the judge was harsh, Becca. That's the job.

Becca HartwellSure, but they're not just griping. They're building a record for exactly this appeal.

MilesFair.

Becca HartwellSo then, in April, the actual argument happens.

MilesApril 9th, Manhattan.

Becca HartwellCNN had reporters in the room, and the ask is enormous. His team wants him released from prison and the conviction overturned outright.

MilesNot re-sentenced, not a lighter number. Out.

Becca HartwellOut, and the case erased.

MilesThat is a swing.

Becca HartwellIt's the whole bat, Miles.

MilesOkay, but walk me through why they think that's even reachable. An acquittal already happened.

Becca HartwellBecause their argument isn't really about guilt anymore. It's about what the judge did with the parts the jury said no to.

MilesThe coercion stuff.

Becca HartwellExactly, and that's the piece that turns this from a sentencing gripe into a constitutional fight.

MilesBecause if a judge can just, I don't know, reach past a verdict and punish someone for what jurors rejected-

Becca HartwellThen what did the trial even accomplish?

MilesRight. That's their whole theory.

Becca HartwellSo two things are hanging out there now.

MilesOne, does the sentence survive this appeal?

Becca HartwellAnd two, all those civil suits still trailing him, regardless of what the Second Circuit does.

MilesThose don't go away, no matter which way this ruling breaks.

Becca HartwellNo. Different courts, different standard of proof, completely separate fight.

MilesSo even a win here doesn't clean the slate.

Becca HartwellNot even close. But let's actually get into what's in that brief, because the phrase his lawyers use for the judge's role is pretty pointed, and it's not subtle at all. Ugh.

MilesSo I went digging through cases that look like Combs's, same kind of charge, prostitution-related counts, and almost all of them land under 15 months.

Becca Hartwell15 months? And he's sitting on way more than three times that.

MilesRight, and that gap is exactly what the defense wants the judges staring at.

Becca HartwellSo what's their explanation for it?

MilesTheir argument is the judge stopped applying guidelines and started re-litigating the case himself, like a second jury deciding facts the real jury already threw out.

Becca HartwellSo he's not interpreting the verdict, he's overruling it?

MilesThat's the claim. He treated the coercion allegations as basically proven, even after 12 people said they weren't.

Becca HartwellThat's a due process problem if it's true. You get judged twice for the same conduct, once by a jury, then again by one person in a robe?

MilesAnd you can see it laid out in the comparison table in the brief. 15 months for everyone else, years more for him.

Becca HartwellCool. Cool, cool. Nothing weird about that at all.

MilesIt's not new either. This kind of sentencing has survived challenges before, going back years.

Becca HartwellSo the defense is picking a fight they know is uphill.

MilesWhich is exactly why the brief leans so hard on the specific facts of this case, not the general rule.

Becca HartwellOkay, walk me through what acquitted conduct sentencing actually means, because people hear that term and just nod along.

MilesIt means a judge can factor in conduct that a jury found the defendant not guilty of, as long as the judge thinks it happened under a lower standard of proof.

Becca HartwellHow much lower?

MilesPreponderance of the evidence. More likely than not. Nowhere near beyond a reasonable doubt.

Becca HartwellSo the jury says, "We're not convinced," and the judge says, "I'm convinced enough"?

MilesFunctionally, yeah.

Becca HartwellSo there's no jury check on that judgment call at all?

MilesNone. It's entirely the judge's read of the record.

Becca HartwellThat's wild when you say it out loud.

MilesIt is, and Combs' team says applying it here goes too far given what the jury actually rejected.

Becca HartwellAnd this isn't a one-track ask either.

MilesNo, that request is baked into the same filing. Either let him out now or send it back to re-sentencing under a judge who isn't leaning on rejected charges.

Becca HartwellTwo very different outcomes bundled into one filing.

MilesWhich tells you they're not betting everything on a single argument landing.

Becca HartwellFair. So if the acquitted conduct piece is the practical question-

MilesThe constitutional piece is whether using rejected conduct to add years onto someone's sentence violates due process, period.

Becca HartwellSo that's the actual question the appellate panel has to rule on. So the whole appeal hangs on one word, constitutional. His lawyers aren't just saying the sentence was rough, they're saying the process that built it broke the rules.

MilesBecause a jury said no. Twelve people, no.

Becca HartwellRight, and the brief's argument is basically if twelve people vote you innocent, a judge weighing in afterwards is acting like a thirteenth vote that never got counted.

MilesA vote that overrules the other twelve.

Becca HartwellIt's a punchy phrase, thirteenth juror, but it's doing real legal work. It's arguing the sentencing judge functionally reopened a question the jury already closed.

MilesWhich is exactly why courts are usually so cautious about even touching acquitted conduct, right? Once you go down that road, every acquittal becomes a little less final.

Becca HartwellExactly, and it's not some vague vibe in the filing. Combs' own appellate lawyer, a woman named Shapiro, said it out loud in the courtroom.

MilesWhat'd she say?

Becca Hartwell"I think it's clear that at a minimum there are serious constitutional concerns with using acquitted conduct."

MilesAt a minimum.

Becca HartwellRight? That's lawyer for this should scare you.

MilesOr lawyer for we know we might lose, so we're hedging.

Becca HartwellSure, but think about what she's actually asking three federal judges to do. Say the sentencing judge crossed a line the Constitution draws.

MilesAnd prosecutors are standing right there saying, "No, he didn't."

Becca HartwellIt's a genuinely tough spot for them too. They have to defend a sentencing practice that's older than this case without sounding like they're excusing everything the jury rejected.

MilesRight. They're not defending the underlying conduct, they're defending the judge's authority to weigh it at all.

Becca HartwellThey defended the sentence at the same argument. Two sides, same facts, wildly different read on whether it's even allowed.

MilesThis is where I want to pin it down, though. What exactly are they asking these three judges to hold?

Becca HartwellNot some broad rule for every case out there. Specifically, whether using the coercion conduct the jury rejected to add years onto Combs' sentence crossed the line here.

MilesSo it's a narrower ask than strike down acquitted conduct sentencing entirely.

Becca HartwellRight. They want relief for him specifically. Vacate this sentence because of what this judge did with these rejected allegations.

MilesHuge ruling either way.

Becca HartwellAnd courts don't usually telegraph how they're leaning on something this big.

MilesSo what actually happened when three judges had Shapiro standing in front of them?

Becca HartwellThe prosecutors weren't hedging either. They held the line at that same argument, insisting the sentence was sound as is.

MilesSame day, same room. And here's what's wild, the guy deciding it doesn't tip his hand either.

Becca HartwellWhat was their actual pitch, though? Not just trust the judge.

MilesBasically that the judge has broad discretion at sentencing to weigh everything in the record, not just the specific counts that got a conviction. That's been standard practice for years.

Becca HartwellSo their whole defense is this isn't new, this is how sentencing has always worked?

MilesPretty much. They're not conceding an inch on whether it's fair, just on whether it's allowed.

Becca HartwellWait, who's on the panel?

MilesSecond Circuit Judge William Nardini. He's the one who closes out the hearing.

Becca HartwellAnd?

MilesHe calls it, quote, "An exceptionally difficult case."

Becca HartwellUgh, from the bench out loud?

MilesOut loud, on the record.

Becca HartwellThat's not a judge who's already made up his mind.

MilesThat's the read, and then he says the ruling's coming as a written decision, no date attached.

Becca HartwellSo we wait.

MilesWe wait.

Becca HartwellOkay, I need you to sit with me in this for a second, because I came into this thinking somebody clearly won that room.

MilesDid they?

Becca HartwellNo, that's the thing. Nobody did. You've got Shapiro making the constitutional case, prosecutors defending the number, and a judge who calls it exceptionally difficult instead of, like, obviously one way or the other.

MilesWhich, for what it's worth, tracks. These panels don't always tip their hand at argument. Sometimes a judge asks the hardest questions of the side he actually going to rule for.

Becca HartwellOh, that's evil.

MilesIt's strategy. You poke holes in the argument you like to make sure it holds up.

Becca HartwellSo Nardini grilling the defense doesn't mean the defense is losing.

MilesCould mean the opposite, could mean nothing. That's the honest answer.

Becca HartwellIt's wild that we can watch the entire hearing happen and still walk away with zero read on the outcome.

MilesThat's kind of the point of oral argument, though. It's not a scoreboard, it's just judges stress-testing both sides out loud.

Becca HartwellI hate that answer.

MilesI know, but it's the real one. This thing is genuinely up in the air right now.

Becca HartwellNo timeline, no signal, just a courtroom of very smart people who all sounded convinced.

MilesAnd a written decision that could land next month or next year.

Becca HartwellOkay, but Combs isn't just sitting around waiting on three federal judges.

MilesNo, he's not, because while that appeal sits with the panel, there's a whole separate pile of civil litigation moving on its own clock.

Becca HartwellLawsuits that don't care what the Second Circuit decides.

MilesNot even a little, and some of them have been quietly building for a while now.

Becca HartwellSo the criminal case is still sitting with the judges, but Combs' lawyers just got a loss on a totally different front.

MilesThe NBCUniversal thing?

Becca HartwellYep, he sued them for a hundred million dollars over that twenty twenty-five documentary. Defamation, the whole deal. And?

MilesAnd?

Becca HartwellAnd a New York judge tossed it. Reported in late April right after the appeal argument, so he's got two different courtrooms telling him no in the same month.

MilesWhat a rough stretch.

Becca HartwellAnd that's not even the scarier one for him.

MilesThere's a scarier one?

Becca HartwellThere's a federal case out in Los Angeles. Someone's alleging he held a witness over a balcony, seventeenth floor.

MilesWait, 17th floor?

Becca HartwellThat's the allegation, and it's not getting dismissed. It's headed to an actual jury trial.

MilesWhen?

Becca HartwellMay of next year.

MilesA full year out, so there's plenty of time for this to get worse for him before it gets better.

Becca HartwellOr it drags on with more filings before it ever gets near a jury.

MilesSo even if the appeal goes his way tomorrow?

Becca HartwellHe's still standing in a Los Angeles courtroom in 2027 answering for that.

MilesThis is the part people miss when they only talk about Lizzo's case or one lawsuit at a time. Combs isn't fighting one fire.

Becca HartwellHe's fighting a fire in every building.

MilesAnd none of them care what the Second Circuit decides.

Becca HartwellRight. The appeal only touches the criminal sentence. The defamation suit's dead regardless. The balcony case marches on regardless.

MilesSo no matter which way those two judges rule in New York-

Becca HartwellHe's not walking away clean, not close to it.

MilesOkay, so we've got the appeal hanging out there since April. We've got a stack of civil suits that don't care about the appeal at all.

Becca HartwellFeels like the right spot to just say it. Where do you land on all of this, Miles?

MilesYeah, let's actually say it.

Becca HartwellSo verdicts, where do you land?

MilesGive me yours first. You've been softer on this whole thing all episode.

Becca HartwellBecause I keep coming back to due process. A jury looked at trafficking and racketeering and said no. If a judge can still lock someone up on those same facts, what did the verdict actually buy him?

MilesA verdict on those specific charges. That's it.

Becca HartwellBut is that just semantics, or does it actually matter to Combs?

MilesIt matters legally. It means the judge can't call this a conviction on those charges, whatever the sentence looks like.

Becca HartwellRight, but if the underlying conduct still drives the number, the acquittal starts to feel like theater.

MilesOkay, here's my problem with that. A jury has to be unanimous beyond reasonable doubt on a packaged set of charges. A judge at sentencing is looking at everything, every witness, every exhibit, and asking what actually happened. Those are different jobs.

Becca HartwellSure, but only one of those jobs has a jury box attached to it.

MilesAnd if we strip that tool away entirely, you get judges boxed into sentences that don't match what the evidence in the room actually showed. You want a scenario where someone walks with a fraction of accountability because 12 people couldn't agree on every count?

Becca HartwellI don't love either version, honestly.

MilesNobody does. That's why it's in front of three appellate judges right now instead of us.

Becca HartwellWhich, fair, we are not deciding this.

MilesWe are absolutely not deciding this.

Becca HartwellBut if I had to bet on principle over outcome, I'd rather a judge over-explain their reasoning than quietly use rejected conduct to pad a number.

MilesAnd I'd rather keep the tool in the toolbox and fight about how it gets used case by case. Different failure mode, same instinct. Don't let anybody skate.

Becca HartwellSee, that's the split. You're worried about the guilty walking. I'm worried about the process bending because the conduct is ugly enough that nobody wants to be the one who lets it slide.

MilesBoth worries are real. That's the annoying part.

Becca HartwellAnd honestly, that's probably why this case is a better test than most. The facts are ugly enough that neither side feels safe to ignore.

MilesRight. It's not a clean hypothetical. It's a guy the jury didn't convict on the biggest charges sitting in prison anyway.

Becca HartwellIt is annoying.

MilesLook at us, agreeing on the hard part and not the answer.

Becca HartwellThe story of every appeal ever filed.

MilesSo loophole or lifeline? The panel hasn't told us yet.

Becca HartwellThey haven't, and whatever they rule, it's not going to feel clean either way.

MilesNo, it's really not.

Becca HartwellAlright. Case file closes here for now.

MilesFor now. We'll be watching for that ruling.

Becca HartwellOh, we absolutely will.

MilesAll right, let's send it home.

Becca HartwellSo that's where it sits, a courtroom that hasn't decided and a defendant who isn't free.

MilesNardini's panel goes back into chambers. We go back to recording next week.

Becca HartwellVery different stakes.

MilesSlightly.

Becca HartwellOkay, before we go, if you've got a case you want us to crack open, drop it in a review.

MilesOr tag The Shave directly. We actually read those.

Becca HartwellWe do. Miles reads the mean ones out loud to me.

MilesOnce. That happened once.

Becca HartwellOnce was enough, honestly.

MilesCharacter building.

Becca HartwellNew episodes land every Wednesday, so if you're not subscribed yet, now's the moment.

MilesHit follow, hit subscribe, whatever your app calls it. Just do the thing.

Becca HartwellAnd leave a rating if you're feeling generous. It actually helps people find us.

MilesIt does, more than people think.

Becca HartwellWhat I keep coming back to on this one is how much of the story is still unwritten, a ruling that hasn't come down, a docket that's still filling up.

MilesYeah. We'll be watching that docket closer than most.

Becca HartwellWe will, because whatever the Second Circuit decides, somebody's going to feel like justice either finally showed up or walked out the back door.

MilesAnd we'll be right here arguing about which one it was.

Becca HartwellAlways. Thanks for hanging out with us. We'll see you next Wednesday.

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