Published by BJ Rudell
Unusually accurate, contrarian fantasy football predictions matter. They could mean the difference between missing the playoffs and winning your league. Since 2013, BJ Rudell has written 3,000+ fantasy columns and advised 10,000+ managers using home-grown data analytics and other empirical evidence. He's won several national fantasy tournaments, including one vs. 60,000+ people and another vs. 330,000+. E-mail him at fantasyfootballforwinners@gmail.com.
Listen on Apple PodcastsAre Luther Burden III and Rome Odunze bargains, busts, or priced about right? It largely depends on who wins the #3 WR job in camp.
Houston WRs Tank Dell, Jayden Higgins, and Jaylin Noel are “what-if” bargains. Depending on what happens these next few weeks, one or two of them could spike in value.
A comment on my blog has me rethinking the line between brilliance, banality, and luck.
Three weeks ago I walked through why rookie WR De'Zhaun Stribling was in a fantastic landing spot in a room full of injury-prone playmakers. Now things are happening . . .
Last summer I did three podcast episodes on why Ladd McConkey was overvalued and his WR teammates were undervalued. This summer, it’s happening again.
97 retired RBs who entered the NFL these past 30 years were coming off a final college season that accounted for at least 60% of their total college touches. Their average rookie fantasy ranking was 105.
Ever since the Chiefs drafted Emmett Johnson in the fifth round, I’ve been tracking him as a likely bargain. But 30 years of data say otherwise.
Jonathon Brooks finally appears to be healthy and ready to start his NFL career in Year 3. He also happens to be the biggest sell-high dynasty running back.
There are so many reasons to believe Lamar Jackson will bounce back. There are also many reasons to believe we’ve already seen him at his best. That’s the dilemma.
Matthew Stafford made fantasy history last season. His breakout reflects the fantasy market’s growing difficulty assessing QB values.
How much should we bump quarterbacks throwing to two likely top 20 fantasy WRs?
De’Von Achane has dominated as an offensive centerpiece. This year he is expected to be *the* offensive centerpiece. What does that mean for his fantasy outlook?
Falcons rookie WR Zachariah Branch has a clear shot at fantasy relevance. Here’s why managers should lock in on him these next few weeks.
The Saints restructuring Alvin Kamara‘s contract has a huge impact on Kamara’s and Travis Etienne’s fantasy values.
How should we assess Quinshon Judkins’ ADP as a workhorse in a lower-tier offense?
Based on historical data, there’s a high probability that Aaron Jones, Jordan Mason, and/or rookie Demond Claiborne well comfortably outperform ADP expectations. Here’s why . . .
Why Jamison Williams is one of the biggest bargains among the top 30 WRs.
Based on ADP, the fantasy market seems to believe Matthew Stafford will be worse than last year but better than his prior three seasons. It’s a fair assessment, and it’s also deceptively complex for managers seeking value.
There are probably three big reasons why Jacoby Brissett’s ADP is only QB29. Here’s why those three reasons don’t hold water.
If you listen to one podcast episode this summer about a tight end, make it this one.
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