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BetTheHouse
Published by Nick Luck Daily
- Government
Podcast by Nick Luck Daily
Listen on Apple PodcastsPublished by Nick Luck Daily
Podcast by Nick Luck Daily
Listen on Apple Podcasts28 min
Nick Luck and Neil Channing here with the latest episode of the insightful political betting podcast, as they turn their attention to the Claction by-election, and wonder whether the Farage furore has been reflected in the markets and whether Count Binface is set for a smaller vote share than received wisdom suggests. Plus, a look at the most least market through the prism of the Burnham Bounce, and why did the Tories briefly go shorter than Reform?
47 min
Nick Luck, Neil Channing and William Kedjanyi return on the day that Andy Burnham becomes Prime Minister. With Burnham bouncing into Downing Street as Nigel Farage's ship lurches perilously, and Badenoch's approval rating improves, could two party politics be set for a return. Veteran commentator Peter Oborne is this week's guest.
37 min
Nick Luck, Neil Channing and William Kedjanyi are joined by Patrick Jay to dissect the events surrounding Andy Burnham's seismic by-election win,, and to seek out betting opportunities in its aftermath.
43 min
Nick Luck, Neil Channing and Will Kedjanyi are back with the latest edition of the political betting podcast. It's a Triple by-election super-Thursday, but all eyes are on Makerfield as Andy Burnham edges ever closer to parliament and to No 10. Is a Labour win a foregone conclusion, or is there another twist in the tail. Plus, just how big a part will Restore play, here and beyond, and is there any chance Starmer can cling on to his leadership in 2026. This episode also analyses the scope for a result in either of the Scottish by-elections and casts an eye forward to the likely Manchester mayoral contest.
39 min
Nick Luck, Neil Channing and William Kedjanyi join up once again for the popular political betting show, as they ask whether the market strength behind Andy Burnham's candidacy in the Makerfield by election and for the Labour leadership is well founded, or whether the seat's demographics play squarely into the hands of Reform.
44 min
Nick Luck, Neil Channing and William Kedjanyi are back with a special edition of the political betting show, looking at how the events of Tuesday May 12th have affected the markets, and wagering opportunities while the King's Speech temporarily suspends hostilities. They also assess the impact of last week's local elections.
31 min
Nick Luck, Neil Channing and Will Kedjanyi return with the latest edition of the political betting show on the eve of the Local Elections, with several projections and recommended bets.
39 min
Nick Luck, Neil Channing and Will Kedjanyi are back with the popular political betting show. With days to the UK local elections, they assess the markets, focusing particularly on Starmer's exit date in the face of renewed pressure post-Mandelson as well as his likely replacement, where Neil has a 20/1 recommendation. They look at trading positions in the most-seat markets through the prism of next week's likely outcomes, have another dig into Plaid's chances in the Senedd, and have a surprise 10/1 pick in an outer London mayoral contest.
1 hr 1 min
In this episode of the popular political betting podcast, Nick Luck and Neil Channing analyse the instant impact of fledgling party Restore Britain on the betting markets, and ask how it has become such a short price to gain the most seats at the next general election. Nick sits down for a wide ranging interview with party leader Rupert Lowe in a bid to understand his electoral strategy and how it may most effectively impact his rivals.
42 min
Nick Luck is joined by regulars Neil Channing and Will Kedjanyi to cast an eye over the political betting landscape. They pick through the debris of Gorton and Denton, wonder whether the Greens remain a bet in the 'most seats' market, consider Starmer's exit date, and ask whether Angela Rayner really wants the leadership enough to be value to succeed him at 3/1.
44 min
Nick Luck, Neil Channing and Will Kedjanyi are back with the latest edition of the political betting show on the eve of the crucial and bitterly contested Gorton and Denton by-election.
42 min
Nick Luck, Neil Channing and Will Kedjanyi are back with the fortnightly political betting podcast that never tells you how to vote.... but DOES tell you how you're GOING to vote. They assess whether the mayhem of the last two weeks has been reflected in the betting markets and - with the Greens flying high in the polls and the Gorton & Denton by-election just around the corner - are joined by Chris Williams, Green Party Deputy CEO and Head of Elections and Field.
30 min
Nick Luck, Neil Channing and Will Kedjanyi round-up the betting markets' reaction to the turbulent events of the last seven days, including the Gorton and Denton by-election, the Burnham hokey-cokey, and Jenrick et al defecting from the Tories. Plus, Neil storms in at the end of the episode with a whopping 33/1 bet and why is he doing a reverse ferret on Reform?
44 min
Nick Luck, Neil Channing and Will Kedjanyi take a look back at the key events during Party Conference season, and ask how the betting markets were affected.
42 min
Nick Luck and Neil Channing return with the latest edition of the popular political betting show, which this week focuses on the shifting sands in Wales: will the remorseless rise of Reform and the newfound confidence of Plaid Cymru under a popular leader combine to loosen Labour's grip in the 2026 Senedd elections? If so, what are the consequences for Starmer? How might this transpose to Westminster, and how many three-way marginals might exist by the next general election? Nick and Neil are joined by special guest Dr Dan Evans, Swansea University sociologist and author of A Nation of Shopkeepers: The Unstoppable rise of the Petit Bourgeoisie. As ever, Star Sports expert William Kedjanyi provides likely odds and outcomes.
46 min
Nick Luck and Neil Channing are joined on the popular political betting show by Jeremy Gilbert, Professor of Cultural and Political Theory at the University of East London, as they continue their look at the likely electoral fortunes of each of the main parties. This week, Labour's broad-but-shallow majority comes under the microscope as successors to Starmer begin to emerge as potential plays. Will Kedjanyi from Star Sports has the prices.
31 min
Nick and Neil ask where the Tories might land up at the next election, and consider whether there is an early betting edge. This week's special guest is Henry Hill, Deputy Editor of Conservative Home. William Kedjanyi from Star Sports has prices.
31 min
Nick and Neil with this week's episode of the popular political betting show that never tells you how to vote... but tells you how you're going to vote. With the Lib Dems polling and prospects since Election 2024 under the microscope, our special guest this week is psephologist and Lib Dem expert Matty McMaster. As ever, Will Kedjanyi of StarSports provides odds and insight.
35 min
Nick Luck and Neil Channing return with the popular political betting podcast. This week, they examine the Reform poll surge and analyse whether it can translate into an appealing betting strategy. William Kedjanyi provides odds from StarSports, while today's special guest is Reform Uk donor and Liz Truss's biggest leadership backer, Dr Jim Hay.
43 min
Nick Luck and Neil Channing return with another instalment of the popular political betting show. In this episode, they assess the chances of the remaining four Tory leadership contenders in the company of renowned sociology lecturer Dr Phil Burton-Cartledge, author of The Party's Over. They also consider the dynamism in the American Presidential market and the impact of Harris's choice of running-mate, plus Neil has strong advice on the likely outcome of the Michigan vote.