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The future of energy, transport, sustainability and more, as told by BNEF analysts. Each week, Dana Perkins and Tom Rowlands-Rees sit down with BloombergNEF (BNEF) analysts to uncover the key findings and stories behind their latest research.
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Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva will enter his fourth term with an energy system transformed by electrification. The country’s rapid wind and solar growth has created a curtailment crisis, weighing on investment and increasing the need for greater grid flexibility and power-market reform. Meanwhile, surging EV sales are boosting local auto manufacturing while threatening future demand for Brazil’s huge biofuels industry. Policy continuity may not be enough to manage these pressures, particularly as the country’s clean-energy transition enters a more complicated phase. So, can Lula develop a new playbook for Brazil’s next wave of electrification? On today’s show, Kamala Schelling is joined by a senior associate from BloombergNEF’s Latin America team, Vinicius Nunes, to review findings from the analyst reaction “Brazil’s Clean-Energy Surge to Test Lula’s Next Term.” Complementary BNEF research on the trends driving the transition to a lower-carbon economy can be found at BNEF<GO> on the Bloomberg Terminal or on bnef.com Links to research notes from this episode: Brazil’s Clean-Energy Surge to Test Lula’s Next Term - https://www.bnef.com/analyst-reactions/tnj4zpt96osh00 See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Europe’s energy shocks have exposed the cost of energy dependence. The loss of Russian gas accelerated investment in renewables and liquefied natural gas, but high prices, infrastructure bottlenecks and new import dependencies remain. Greater electrification could improve resilience by making better use of domestic power and flexible technologies. But high costs still weigh on industry. So can Europe turn energy resilience into a competitive advantage? At the BloombergNEF Summit London, Oliver Metcalfe, BNEF’s head of European research, moderated a panel titled “Reshaping Europe’s Strategic Future.” This episode brings listeners that panel, which featured BASF’s Matthias Dohrn, Octopus Energy Group’s Greg Jackson, JP Morgan’s Hannes Kofler, and SSE’s Deepa Venkateswaran. Today’s episode was recorded live at the BNEF Summit London. To learn more about our Summits and to listen to more interviews, please visit https://about.bnef.com/summit/ See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
The economics of heating your home are shifting. Whether a heat pump saves money increasingly depends on what heats your home, where you live and when you use electricity. Heating oil prices have surged to a two-decade high in the US, EU and UK, dramatically improving the economics of switching for some households, while changes to electricity tariffs can make heat pumps cheaper to run. With fossil-fuel prices volatile and power systems changing, electric heating is becoming more competitive. So where do heat pumps now make financial sense, and what could make them more attractive? On today’s show, Kamala Schelling is joined by Yara van Ingen, an associate from BloombergNEF’s tech, industry & innovation team, to discuss some of her notes, including “Heating Oil Spike Opens Market for More Heat Pumps,” and “French Heat Pump Owners Gain From Cheaper Midday Power.” Complementary BNEF research on the trends driving the transition to a lower-carbon economy can be found at BNEF<GO> on the Bloomberg Terminal or on bnef.com Links to research notes from this episode: Heating Oil Spike Opens Market for More Heat Pumps - https://www.bnef.com/shorts/tmxz2dt96osp00 French Heat Pump Owners Gain From Cheaper Midday Power - https://www.bnef.com/shorts/tmxxyvkk3nye00 Gas Price Spike Still Too Mild to Drive Heat Pump Surge - https://www.bnef.com/shorts/texo3ukk3ny900 Heat Pump Market Outlook 2026: Blip, Not Bust - https://www.bnef.com/insights/39389 See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Gas turbines are a hot topic. Orders for this critical piece of infrastructure are surging alongside rising power demand and the need to refurbish aging power plants. Data centers are adding urgency, particularly in the US, and scarce delivery slots are pushing prices higher. Manufacturers are expanding production, but past overcapacity is keeping them cautious about chasing today’s demand too aggressively. So how long can the boom last? And can manufacturers capitalize on the gas turbine boom without overplaying their hand? On today’s show, Tom Rowlands-Rees is joined by BNEF global gas specialist Atin Jain to discuss findings from some of his research, including “Global Gas Turbine Order Trends 1H 2026: Records Shattered” and “Global Gas Turbine Manufacturing Outlook: Crunch, for Now.” Complementary BNEF research on the trends driving the transition to a lower-carbon economy can be found at BNEF<GO> on the Bloomberg Terminal or on bnef.com Links to research notes from this episode: Global Gas Turbine Order Trends 1H 2026: Records Shattered - https://www.bnef.com/insights/40519 US Data Center Gas Demand Outlook 2026-2035 - https://www.bnef.com/insights/40383 Global Gas Turbine Manufacturing Outlook: Crunch, for Now - https://www.bnef.com/insights/40247 See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Europe’s power mix is changing fast. Ample output from wind, solar and nuclear means that northwest Europe could require significantly less power from fossil fuels this winter than last. At the same time, rising electricity demand from EVs and data centers is shifting market dynamics across Europe, creating new opportunities for technologies like solar and batteries. So how are Europe’s power markets evolving, and what does that mean for prices and investment? On today’s show, Tom Rowlands-Rees is joined by Arhnue Tan from BNEF’s European power team to discuss findings from some of her team’s notes, including “European Power Monthly October 2026: Renewables Retreat,” “European Power Winter Outlook: Cleaner Mix,” and a series of outlooks covering individual power markets across Europe, which we’ve hyperlinked below. Complementary BNEF research on the trends driving the transition to a lower-carbon economy can be found at BNEF<GO> on the Bloomberg Terminal or on bnef.com Links to research notes from this episode: European Power Monthly October 2026: Renewables Retreat - https://www.bnef.com/insights/40545 European Power Winter Outlook: Cleaner Mix - https://www.bnef.com/insights/40431 Germany Power Market Outlook 2026: Batteries Versus Gas - https://www.bnef.com/insights/40407 Italy Power Market Outlook 2026: Renewables Edge Out Gas - https://www.bnef.com/insights/40373 Nordic Power Markets: Demand Outlook - https://www.bnef.com/insights/39425 France Power Market Outlook 2026: Price High, Supply Ample - https://www.bnef.com/insights/39197 See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
The energy transition is reshaping how companies make money. BNEF’s new Transition Risk and Opportunities Outlook models revenues for more than 70,000 companies as demand shifts across energy, transport and commodities. Businesses exposed to renewables, grids, EVs and transition metals could benefit, while others may face shrinking markets and rising carbon costs. So which companies are positioned to capture new opportunities, and which are most exposed to the transition? On today’s show, Kamala Schelling is joined by BloombergNEF finance policy and transition risk specialist Maia Mesanger and transition risk and alignment analyst Estella Agyepong to discuss their note “Transition Risk and Opportunity Outlook 2026.” Complementary BNEF research on the trends driving the transition to a lower-carbon economy can be found at BNEF<GO> on the Bloomberg Terminal or on bnef.com Links to research notes from this episode: Transition Risk and Opportunity Outlook 2026 - https://www.bnef.com/insights/40403 See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Power plants have a water problem that’s getting harder to ignore. Coal, gas and nuclear facilities rely heavily on water for cooling, leaving some exposed as drought and heat intensify pressure on freshwater supplies. Wind and solar generation have a dramatically lower dependence on water, but thermal plants will remain critical to power systems, and many existing assets are located in areas facing growing water stress. That creates risks beyond individual generators. Water shortages can constrain power supply just as heat pushes electricity demand higher, potentially affecting prices and consumers across the system. So how vulnerable is the power sector to water stress, and can the energy transition reduce the risk? On today’s show, Tom Rowlands-Rees is joined by BloombergNEF climate research analyst Alistair Purdie to discuss findings from his note “Thirst for Power: Water Stress in Electricity Generation.” Complementary BNEF research on the trends driving the transition to a lower-carbon economy can be found at BNEF<GO> on the Bloomberg Terminal or on bnef.com Links to research notes from this episode: Thirst for Power: Water Stress in Electricity Generation - https://www.bnef.com/insights/40317 See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Europe’s gas market is heading into winter with little room for error. Lower storage levels and disruption in the Middle East have left the region more exposed to weather and competition for LNG. BNEF’s base case sees European storage falling to 21% by the end of March, but a prolonged Strait of Hormuz disruption or a particularly cold winter could push it toward 10%. Much will depend on temperatures, renewable generation and LNG demand elsewhere, particularly in Asia. Longer term, new supply could loosen the global gas market, but BNEF expects that relief to arrive from 2028 onwards. So how tight could the gas market get this winter, and what could tip the balance? On today’s show, Tom Rowlands-Rees is joined by BloombergNEF European gas market analyst, Arham Muhammad, and weather team associate, Jess Hicks to discuss the notes “LNG Market Outlook 2035: Oversupply to Fuel Demand Growth” and “European Gas Market Outlook 2035.” Complementary BNEF research on the trends driving the transition to a lower-carbon economy can be found at BNEF<GO> on the Bloomberg Terminal or on bnef.com Links to research notes from this episode: European Gas Winter Outlook 2026-2027 - https://www.bnef.com/insights/40331 See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
No country can feed itself entirely on its own. The global food system depends on a complex web of trade, not just for food but for fertilizer, animal feed, pesticides and labor. Even major agricultural exporters rely on imports somewhere in their supply chains, leaving markets exposed when extreme weather, conflict or trade disputes disrupt these connections. Those vulnerabilities can appear in unexpected places: China and the Middle East depend heavily on imported food while supplying fertilizer to the world, and Brazil is a major food exporter that relies on imported fertilizer to sustain production. So in an increasingly volatile world, what makes a food system resilient, and where are its weakest links? On today’s show, Kamala Schelling is joined by BloombergNEF analyst Helen Ramsbottom to discuss her note “Food Security During a Time of Geoeconomic Unrest.” Complementary BNEF research on the trends driving the transition to a lower-carbon economy can be found at BNEF<GO> on the Bloomberg Terminal or on bnef.com Links to research notes from this episode: Food Security During a Time of Geoeconomic Unrest - https://www.bnef.com/insights/40191 See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
US efforts to secure its power grid could come at a cost. A new executive order could restrict grid and power equipment supplied by companies tied to China, with batteries particularly exposed. Around 60% of US lithium-ion battery imports came from mainland China and Hong Kong in 2025. The rules could boost demand for non-Chinese suppliers, but also increase costs and delay battery projects as developers await further guidance. So why could batteries feel the biggest impact from the latest US move to restrict Chinese power equipment? On today’s show, Kamala Schelling is joined by Zoe Zakrzewska, a member of BNEF’s trade and supply chain team, to discuss findings from her Analyst Reaction, “US Grid and Power Equipment Ban Hits Batteries Hardest.” Complementary BNEF research on the trends driving the transition to a lower-carbon economy can be found at BNEF<GO> on the Bloomberg Terminal or on bnef.com Links to research notes from this episode: US Grid and Power Equipment Ban Hits Batteries Hardest - https://www.bnef.com/analyst-reactions/tkfzv6t9njly00 See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Some of the most interesting climate technologies don’t fit neatly into a category. That is the idea behind the Wildcard entries in BloombergNEF’s annual Pioneers competition, which recognizes promising innovations from across the energy transition. This year’s Wildcard winners span three very different fields: BasiGo is electrifying bus fleets in Africa, Endolith is using microbes and machine learning to recover more copper from low-grade ores, and GRST is developing a water-based battery binder designed to make lithium-ion cells less toxic and easier to recycle. On today’s show, Tom Rowlands-Rees and BNEF Pioneers co-chair Benjamin Kafri speak with all three companies about the technologies they’re building, the markets they’re targeting and the challenges of scaling up. More information regarding the upcoming 2027 BNEF Pioneers program can be found at about.bnef.com/about/pioneers/ Complementary BNEF research on the trends driving the transition to a lower-carbon economy can be found at BNEF<GO> on the Bloomberg Terminal or on bnef.com Links to research notes from this episode: Climate-Tech Companies to Watch in 2026: BNEF Pioneers - https://www.bnef.com/insights/39231 See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
The Iran war is redrawing the global energy landscape. Six months of high oil prices and disrupted trade have strengthened the case for technologies that reduce reliance on imported fossil fuels. Chinese exports of solar, batteries and electric vehicles have risen, while markets across Africa, Asia and Latin America are seeing growing demand for clean technologies. But the response varies widely. Some governments are shielding consumers from higher fuel costs, while others are leaning more heavily on domestic fossil fuels as a source of energy security. So has the Iran war changed the direction of the energy transition, or simply its pace? On today’s show, Kamala Schelling is joined by, Ethan Zindler who leads BNEF's countries and policy research. Together they discuss the note “Six Months In: The Iran War’s Global Impact.” Complementary BNEF research on the trends driving the transition to a lower-carbon economy can be found at BNEF<GO> on the Bloomberg Terminal or on bnef.com Links to research notes from this episode: Six Months In: The Iran War’s Global Impact - https://www.bnef.com/insights/40249 See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Turkey is quietly becoming a renewables heavyweight. Rapid wind and solar deployment is helping the country meet rising electricity demand while reducing exposure to imported fossil fuels. Turkey ranked among the world’s top 10 markets for new wind and solar capacity in 2025, and it is targeting 120 gigawatts of combined capacity by 2035. But sustaining that growth will require much greater investment in the grid, and meeting government transmission targets would require annual investment to rise roughly fivefold from 2025 levels. So can Turkey turn its renewable energy boom into a broader transformation of its power system and strengthen its energy security along the way? On today’s show, Tom Rowlands-Rees is joined by Abdullah Alkattan, BNEF’s Middle East energy transition analyst, to discuss findings from the “Turkey Transition Factbook 2026.” Complementary BNEF research on the trends driving the transition to a lower-carbon economy can be found at BNEF<GO> on the Bloomberg Terminal or on bnef.com Links to research notes from this episode: Turkey Transition Factbook 2026 - https://www.bnef.com/insights/39689 See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
America’s data center boom is running into political resistance. Texas, New York and Pennsylvania are moving to slow or pause new projects amid concerns over electricity costs, infrastructure and local impacts. Texas alone accounts for around 20% of the US pipeline, meaning even short delays could cost developers billions. The pushback is increasingly bipartisan, as politicians respond to growing opposition from local communities and overloaded power grids. The result is new uncertainty for developers racing to secure electricity and bring projects online. So has America’s data center boom finally hit the brakes? And what happens next? On today’s show, Kamala Schelling is joined by BloombergNEF’s senior associate for North American policy, Derrick Flakoll, to discuss his recent notes “Texas’ Data Center Pause Could Cost Projects Billions” and “Pennsylvania’s Data Center Pushback Raises Pipeline Risk.” Complementary BNEF research on the trends driving the transition to a lower-carbon economy can be found at BNEF<GO> on the Bloomberg Terminal or on bnef.com Links to research notes from this episode: Pennsylvania’s Data Center Pushback Raises Pipeline Risk - https://www.bnef.com/analyst-reactions/tk0z0wt96osi00 Texas’ Data Center Pause Could Cost Projects Billions - https://www.bnef.com/insights/40105 See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
The electric vehicle boom is entering a new phase. As China’s market matures and the US steps back from EVs, emerging markets are becoming the new hotspot for electrified transport. At the same time, autonomous and shared vehicles are changing how cars are used. Robotaxis can travel much farther each year than private cars, potentially allowing fewer vehicles to provide the same amount of mobility. So as EV adoption evolves and autonomous driving takes off, what does the next phase of road transport look like? On this episode, Aleksandra O’Donovan and Andrew Grant, who lead BNEF’s EV and intelligent mobility teams, join Tom Rowlands-Rees to discuss the newest edition of the Electric Vehicle Outlook . Complementary BNEF research on the trends driving the transition to a lower-carbon economy can be found at BNEF<GO> on the Bloomberg Terminal or on bnef.com Links to research notes from this episode: Long-Term Electric Vehicle Outlook 2026 - https://www.bnef.com/insights/39553 Executive Summary (free to access) - https://about.bnef.com/insights/clean-transport/electric-vehicle-outlook/ See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Europe’s electrification ambitions are running ahead of its policies. The EU wants electricity to account for 46% of final energy consumption by 2040, but BNEF’s modeling suggests even a maximum-effort net-zero pathway would fall short. Getting closer will require greater support for electric vehicles, heat pumps and industry, while keeping electricity affordable. Much of that challenge will fall to member states, many of which are scaling back incentives or facing tight public finances. Meanwhile, the EU’s latest proposals do little to address the upfront costs of electrification. So what will it take to close the gap between Europe’s electrification targets and reality? On today’s show, Kamala Schelling is joined by BNEF’s head of policy, Victoria Cuming, to discuss her note “EU Electrification Goal Unreachable Without More Support.” Complementary BNEF research on the trends driving the transition to a lower-carbon economy can be found at BNEF<GO> on the Bloomberg Terminal or on bnef.com Links to research notes from this episode: EU Electrification Goal Unreachable Without More Support - https://www.bnef.com/analyst-reactions/tibg16t9njlt00 See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Offshore wind turbines are getting too big for the ships that install them. BloombergNEF estimates more than 30 gigawatts of offshore wind installations could struggle to find suitable vessels through 2035 if turbine growth continues. But building bigger ships takes years and hundreds of millions of dollars, and retrofits have their limits. That leaves the industry facing a choice between expanding its installation fleet or slowing the relentless growth in turbine size. So could a shortage of sufficiently large vessels become offshore wind’s next major bottleneck? On today’s show, Kamala Schelling is joined by BloombergNEF wind team analyst Kajsa Jernetz to discuss her note “Wind Installation Vessels: You’re Gonna Need a Bigger Boat.” Complementary BNEF research on the trends driving the transition to a lower-carbon economy can be found at BNEF<GO> on the Bloomberg Terminal or on bnef.com Links to research notes from this episode: Wind Installation Vessels: You’re Gonna Need a Bigger Boat - https://www.bnef.com/insights/40141 See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Europe’s energy supply chains are running out of water. Weeks of heat and drought have pushed Rhine water levels to exceptional lows, restricting barge traffic and sending gasoil freight rates to record levels. That is adding pressure to an already tight market for gasoil, diesel, jet fuel and other middle distillates, while exposing refineries, chemical plants and industries that depend on the river for critical supplies. Companies are responding with smaller cargoes, trucks, rail and shallow-draft vessels, but those alternatives come at a cost. And with warmer, drier conditions expected to persist in the near term, the disruption highlights a broader challenge for Europe: adapting critical energy infrastructure to increasingly severe weather. So how are low water levels on the Rhine disrupting Europe’s energy markets, and how long could the pressure last? On today’s show, Kamala Schelling is joined by BloombergNEF weather associate Jess Hicks and oil associate Claudio Lubis to review findings from their analyst reaction “Freight Rates Skyrocket in EU as Rhine River Runs Low.” Complementary BNEF research on the trends driving the transition to a lower-carbon economy can be found at BNEF<GO> on the Bloomberg Terminal or on bnef.com Links to research notes from this episode: Freight Rates Skyrocket in EU as Rhine River Runs Low - https://www.bnef.com/analyst-reactions/tj8l8skk3ny900 See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
US solar developers are building projects around batteries, not panels. Federal tax credits for energy storage are reshaping the economics of new solar projects, encouraging developers to install larger batteries and allocate more capex to the storage component. The batteries can then shift low-cost solar power into higher-value hours. As energy storage reduces curtailment and generates revenue from services provided to the grid, batteries are becoming a defining feature of the next generation of US solar projects. On today’s show, Dana Perkins is joined by Cosmo van Steenis, an analyst from BloombergNEF’s solar and storage team, to discuss his recent notes “Solar and Storage Couple Up After US Tax Credit Cuts” and “US Tax Credit Maxxing Via Solar-Plus-Storage Projects.” Complementary BNEF research on the trends driving the transition to a lower-carbon economy can be found at BNEF<GO> on the Bloomberg Terminal or on bnef.com Links to research notes from this episode: Solar and Storage Couple Up After US Tax Credit Cuts - https://www.bnef.com/insights/39961 US Tax Credit Maxxing Via Solar-Plus-Storage Projects - https://www.bnef.com/insights/39943 See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Nuclear power is gaining momentum around the globe, but the industry’s path has diverged. China and India are rapidly expanding conventional reactor fleets, while the US and Europe are betting on smaller and more advanced designs to overcome decades of cost overruns and delays. Rising AI electricity demand, energy security concerns and decarbonization goals have all renewed interest in nuclear energy. But turning that momentum into new projects will depend on whether the industry can build reactors faster, more cheaply and with greater confidence than it has in recent decades. On today’s show, Tom Rowlands-Rees is joined by joined by Stephanie Diaz, a senior associate from BloombergNEF’s technology and innovation team, and Chris Gadomski, BNEF’s head of nuclear research, to discuss their note “Nuclear Power Market Outlook 1H 2026: Approaches Diverge.” Complementary BNEF research on the trends driving the transition to a lower-carbon economy can be found at BNEF<GO> on the Bloomberg Terminal or on bnef.com Links to research notes from this episode: Nuclear Power Market Outlook 1H 2026: Approaches Diverge - https://www.bnef.com/insights/39881 See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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