Hotspotting

Australia's property market is falling, but the downturn is far from uniform. The latest Cotality data reveals a striking divide between prestige and affordable housing, with Sydney, Melbourne and Canberra's top end recording the biggest declines while more affordable markets, regional areas and units show greater resilience. So, is Australia's housing market really in freefall? Hotspotting examines the numbers behind the headlines and reveals what is really driving the current property market correction.

Australia's housing crisis is raising serious questions about government policy, housing supply and the reliability of official claims. In this episode, Hotspotting examines what Treasury reportedly knew about the potential impact of changes to negative gearing, capital gains tax and SMSFs, and why house prices, rents and housing supply are now under such intense pressure. What does the evidence reveal about Australia's housing market — and what should property investors, homeowners and first home buyers be watching next? Tune in for a sharp, evidence focused analysis of the policies and data shaping Australia's property market.

Australia's property market is changing — but the story is far more complicated than the national headlines suggest. Tim Graham recently joined Mark Bouris on the Property Insights podcast for a wide-ranging discussion about what is really happening across Australian real estate, where the opportunities may be emerging, and why investors need to look beyond historical price growth when deciding where to buy. They unpack how Hotspotting uses forward-looking indicators — including our proprietary Hotspotting Thermometer and Price Predictor Index — to measure market pressure, sales activity and changing conditions across thousands of property markets around Australia. They also discuss: • Why Australia isn't experiencing one property market — and why some locations are falling while others continue to grow • The indicators we watch to identify markets before price growth occurs • Why "cheap" property doesn't necessarily represent good value • The role infrastructure, population, employment and economic investment play in long-term growth • Markets including Melbourne, Sydney, the Sunshine Coast, Frankston and Western Sydney • Why units are currently outperforming houses across many Australian markets • The growing importance of affordability, rental yield and scarcity • Capital Gains Tax changes, negative gearing and the changing economics of property investment • Why government policy could have unintended consequences for rental supply and investor participation • What buyers and investors should be researching in the current market One of the biggest themes of the conversation is that past performance isn't what you're buying. Investors need to understand what is changing today that could drive demand, employment, population and property prices over the next 5, 10 or 15 years. As Tim explains to Mark, in a slower and increasingly fragmented market, research and asset selection become even more important. The investors who understand where to buy, what to buy and why will put themselves in a much stronger position for the next property cycle. 🎥 Watch the full conversation with Mark Bouris. 📊 Learn more about Hotspotting's independent Australian property research and forward-looking market data at Hotspotting.com.au. #PropertyInvestment #AustralianProperty #RealEstate #PropertyMarket #MarkBouris #Hotspotting #PropertyInvesting #AustralianRealEstate #RealEstateInvesting #HousingMarket ---------- At Hotspotting.com.au, our passion for property investment is the driving force behind everything we do. Founded in 2006 by Terry Ryder, a renowned researcher and writer in the residential real estate field, our mission is to provide accurate and up-to-date insights for property investors and real estate professionals. We understand that making informed decisions is crucial when it comes to property investment, which is why we are dedicated to delivering reliable information and fostering transparency within the industry. Heading our team as Managing Director, Tim Graham. With a background in both real estate and finance, Tim brings extensive knowledge and experience to our company. He holds a Masters in Business Administration, is a licensed mortgage broker, and is licensed as a corporate estate agent in Victoria and Queensland. His expertise extends globally, having worked in various international markets. As avid property investors ourselves, we understand the importance of finding the right location for investment. That's why we are committed to supporting individuals and businesses in achieving their property investment goals. At Hotspotting.com.au, we are dedicated to providing accurate and reliable insights to help you make the best investment decisions. For more real estate analysis, visit https://www.hotspotting.com.au/ Facebook - https://www.facebook.com/hotspotting/

Australia's housing affordability crisis has reached an alarming new low. But if property prices are falling in many markets, why is housing becoming less affordable? Hotspotting examines the impact of higher interest rates, rising mortgage repayments and persistent inflation, revealing why modest price declines have done little to improve affordability. With a chronic shortage of housing still driving the market, this episode explores what is really preventing Australians from accessing affordable housing and why increasing supply remains the critical solution.

Is property market panic distracting investors from the opportunities right in front of them? In this episode, Hotspotting cuts through the political noise and media frenzy surrounding Australia's property market to examine what the fundamentals are really telling us. Despite policy uncertainty and predictions of falling property prices, housing demand remains strong, driven by population growth, infrastructure investment, chronic undersupply, tight rental vacancies and rising rents. With decades of property market expertise, Hotspotting explores why experienced investors should focus on research, fundamentals and the long term rather than fear and headlines. From Melbourne's growing affordability advantage to infrastructure driven opportunities across Australia, discover why market disruption can create opportunity for investors prepared to look beyond the noise.

Is Australia's Housing Strategy Actually Making The Housing Crisis Worse? The Albanese Government says its Budget is tackling housing affordability and helping first home buyers. But the latest evidence tells a very different story. Building approvals are falling, first home buyer activity is weakening, rents are rising and confidence is deteriorating — while Australia remains well behind the pace required to deliver 1.2 million new homes. In this episode, Hotspotting examines the latest ABS housing data, property prices, investor activity, first home buyer trends and the Government's housing supply target to uncover what is really happening in the Australian property market. The housing crisis is fundamentally a supply problem. So why are the policies designed to fix it coinciding with fewer homes being approved and built? Listen now and follow the evidence.

Where are Australia's genuinely affordable property opportunities hiding as house prices continue to rise? In this episode, Hotspotting explores the latest Cheapies With Prospects selections, revealing why the search for affordable property is increasingly shifting towards established unit, townhouse and apartment markets in Australia's capital cities. We examine the fundamentals behind the opportunities, including rental yields, infrastructure, employment, population growth, healthcare, transport and future demand. We also look at five regional markets where affordability is backed by genuine economic and population growth drivers. The message is clear: cheap does not automatically mean good value. The real opportunity is finding affordable property in locations with the fundamentals to support sustainable capital growth. Listen now for expert insights into the Australian property markets investors should be watching closely. #AustralianProperty #PropertyInvestment #PropertyMarket #PropertyInvesting #Hotspotting #CheapiesWithProspects #CapitalGrowth #PropertyHotspots #PropertyResearch

New home sales have fallen for the third consecutive month, raising fresh questions about Australia's housing supply crisis and the effectiveness of current government policy. In this episode, we examine the latest HIA data, the 13.5% quarterly decline in new home sales, and the growing impact of policy uncertainty, interest rates, property tax changes and weakening consumer confidence. With Australia already struggling to deliver enough new homes, could current policies be making the supply problem even worse? Get the expert property market analysis you need to understand what is really happening across Australian housing, new home construction, property prices and investor confidence — and what it could mean for the market ahead. Listen now for the data, context and independent property insights behind the headlines.

What if the strongest property investment opportunities are hiding in markets that offer both high rental yields and proven capital growth? In this episode, we examine the latest The Pulse results, revealing what happened to the 50 markets recommended two years ago. Every market recorded positive capital growth, with an average uplift of 38.4%, while rental growth averaged almost 15%. We explore why affordable houses and units with above average rental yields can also deliver strong capital growth, and what these results reveal about the Australian property market and the opportunities available to investors. Tune in for data driven insights from Hotspotting and discover which Australian property markets are showing the fundamentals investors should be watching. #PropertyInvestment #AustralianProperty #PropertyMarket #CapitalGrowth #RentalYield #PositiveCashflow #PropertyInvesting #Hotspotting #ThePulse

Australia's rental crisis is becoming harder to ignore — and the latest vacancy data reveals just how tight the market has become. With the national rental vacancy rate at just 1.3%, well below the 3% benchmark for a balanced market, rental supply remains severely constrained across Australia. In this episode, Hotspotting examines why vacancies have stayed so low, what is driving continued rental pressure and why current policy settings could make conditions even tougher for tenants. With some capital cities recording vacancy rates below 1% and forecasts pointing to further rent increases, what lies ahead for Australia's rental market? Listen in for expert analysis of the data, the policy environment and the implications for tenants, investors and the broader property market. Listen now for the property intelligence you need to understand where Australia's rental market is heading.

The Worst Time Ever For First Home Buyers? Politicians may be claiming there has never been a better time to buy your first home, but the numbers tell a very different story. New research from FoundIt suggests 2026 is the worst year for Australian first home buyers since records began in 1970. With property prices reaching 10.2 times average annual income, larger mortgage debt, elevated borrowing costs and deposits becoming harder to save, aspiring homeowners are facing an unprecedented affordability squeeze. In this episode, Hotspotting examines the real pressures confronting first home buyers and asks whether government schemes and recent policy changes are genuinely improving housing affordability or simply shifting the burden onto young Australians. We unpack the relationship between house prices, wages, mortgage debt, interest rates, deposits and borrowing capacity to reveal what the latest data really means for Australia's property market. Listen now for an independent, data-driven assessment of the first home buyer market in 2026. #AustralianPropertyMarket #FirstHomeBuyers #PropertyAffordability #HousePrices #PropertyMarket2026 #AustralianRealEstate #HousingAffordability

Australia's property market is cooling — but is Australia really in a property recession? In this interview with ABC Radio Adelaide, Hotspotting Managing Director Tim Graham cuts through the headlines to explain what is actually happening across Australia's highly fragmented property market. Tim discusses the slowdown in national conditions, why the current market is far more nuanced than the term "property recession" suggests, and why buyers, sellers and investors need to look beyond the national headlines. Tim also explains Hotspotting's new Thermometer methodology, which provides a real-time view of market pressure across individual suburbs and LGAs — helping identify which markets are heating up, cooling down and moving differently from the broader national trend. Tune in for a data-driven discussion on interest rates, market uncertainty and what the latest evidence means for Australian property buyers, sellers and investors.

Are Australia's property markets really in decline, or is the media narrative missing the bigger picture? In this episode, Hotspotting examines the latest Cotality price data for the May to July quarter, revealing where Australian property prices are falling, where they are holding firm and where growth is continuing. Sydney and Melbourne recorded the most significant house price declines, but regional markets and units are proving far more resilient, with several markets continuing to record price growth despite higher interest rates and ongoing disruption. Tune in for a data driven assessment of the Australian property market, cutting through the headlines to reveal what is really happening across capital cities and regional Australia — and what it means for property investors, buyers and homeowners. Get the facts, understand the trends and look beyond the headlines with Hotspotting.

Australia has no shortage of housing plans. The real shortage is homes being delivered. In this episode, Hotspotting examines the collapse of Sydney's $9 billion Moore Point development, which proposed 11,000 homes and 23,000 jobs but was abandoned after more than a decade of planning. The project's failure exposes a critical question: how can Australia solve its housing shortage when major developments capable of delivering thousands of dwellings cannot navigate the planning system? We explore the impact of planning delays, development costs, bureaucracy and government decision-making on housing supply, affordability and rents — and why ambitious housing targets mean little if the projects needed to achieve them never get built. This is a deeper look at the structural barriers shaping Australia's property market and what needs to change to deliver more homes, faster.

Australia's apartment market is gaining momentum — and changing investor conditions could make new apartments an increasingly important property investment opportunity. In this episode, we examine the data behind the rise of apartments, including 242 apartment markets delivering yields of 5% or more, compared with just 47 house markets. With lower purchase prices, strong tenant demand, rising rents and improving capital growth, apartments are becoming harder for property investors to overlook. We explore the strongest apartment markets across Australia, why Sydney leads the nation for high yielding unit markets, and how apartment resales are delivering stronger profits. With 92% of apartment resales achieving a nominal profit in the March 2026 quarter, the evidence challenges the assumption that apartments are simply an affordability play. Discover where the opportunities are emerging and why apartments could play a much bigger role in Australia's property investment market.

Australia's property investment landscape has changed — and for many investors, commercial property is suddenly becoming a much bigger part of the conversation. In this webinar, Hotspotting founder Terry Ryder is joined by Steve Palise, Managing Director of Palise Property , to explore why commercial property may offer investors a compelling alternative in the new investment environment. Steve explains why commercial is increasingly shifting from an "exit strategy" for experienced residential investors to something investors are considering much earlier in their journey. They discuss: Why recent policy and lending changes have increased interest in commercial property The role commercial property can play within an SMSF strategy Commercial vs residential borrowing capacity Why commercial can potentially deliver significantly stronger cash flow Net yields and how tenant-paid outgoings work The importance of lease structure and tenant quality Industrial, retail, office, medical and other commercial property types Why Steve heavily favours industrial property Metropolitan vs regional commercial opportunities Capital growth potential in commercial property Vacancy risk and how experienced investors assess it The extensive due diligence required before buying Commercial property management and re-leasing costs How to match the type of commercial property you buy to your own risk profile, budget and investment goals Steve also shares examples from his own portfolio and experience across more than 2,000 property acquisitions, including how transitioning from residential into commercial helped him build a substantial passive income stream. One of the biggest messages from the session: commercial property can offer significant opportunities, but it is not an asset class where investors should generalise or chase yield blindly. Every property, tenant, lease and location needs to be assessed on its individual merits. Want to connect with Steve Palise? 📧 Email: steve@paliseproperty.com 🌐 Submit an enquiry: https://www.paliseproperty.com/contact/ Want to learn more about commercial property investing? Commercial Property Course: https://www.propertyinstituteaustralia.com.au/courses/commercial-property/ Subscribe to Hotspotting for more independent property research, market insights, webinars and investor education.

What if the biggest opportunities in Australia's property market aren't making the headlines? In this episode, we unpack the Winter 2026 Price Predictor Index , revealing why it's our most comprehensive market analysis yet. Covering 3,742 suburb markets across 342 Local Government Areas , the latest report combines proven sales volume analysis with the Hotspotting Thermometer to identify where markets are strengthening, recovering, holding steady or beginning to soften. Discover why headline median prices often fail to tell the full story, which markets are outperforming expectations, and how forward looking data can help property investors, buyers and industry professionals make more informed decisions. If you want to understand where Australia's property market is really heading, this is an episode you won't want to miss. Keywords: Australian property market, property investment Australia, Price Predictor Index, property market forecast, property hotspots, real estate trends, suburb analysis, Hotspotting, property investing.

Is this really the best time to be a first home buyer in Australia? Recent claims from the Federal Government suggest there's never been a better opportunity to enter the housing market, but what does the data actually reveal? In this episode, we cut through the political messaging to examine the latest property prices, buyer sentiment, mortgage demand and market conditions. Discover what the evidence says about affordability, first home buyers and the realities facing Australians looking to purchase property today. For independent, data driven analysis of the Australian property market, tune in to Hotspotting. Keywords: Australian property market, first home buyers, housing affordability, property prices, real estate Australia, mortgage trends, property investment, housing market analysis, Hotspotting.

Are property investors really driving Australia's housing prices higher? The latest research suggests the answer may surprise you. In this episode, Terry Ryder examines why home buyers—not investors—are often the biggest force behind rising property prices. Using real auction results, market data and independent research, he explains how competition between owner-occupiers continues to push prices higher, even when investors step away. Discover what the latest analysis from KPMG and Cotality reveals about Australia's property market, why housing supply remains the real issue, and how current housing policies may be missing the mark. If you want evidence-based property insights that cut through the political narrative, this is essential viewing. Subscribe for expert Australian property market analysis, investment insights and housing trends.

What if one of the biggest assumptions about Australia's housing crisis isn't supported by the evidence? New KPMG research challenges the claim that investors are pushing home buyers out of the market, revealing rising home ownership in Australia's strongest-performing property markets. We unpack the data, explore what it means for housing affordability, and examine why supply—not investors—may be the real issue. Tune in for independent, evidence-based insights into Australia's property market, housing policy and the trends shaping the nation's real estate future.