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Published by Expected Buffalo
Official podcast of Expected Buffalo which is an analytics focused website covering the Buffalo Sabres, hosted by Chad DeDominicis and Anthony Sciandra
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In this episode of the Expected Buffalo postgame show, I dive into the disappointing 3-1 loss to the Philadelphia Flyers during our first home game in what feels like ages. Despite a solid first 40 minutes, the team faltered in the third period, frustrating fans. I discuss the inconsistencies plaguing the lineup and the goaltending situation, highlighting the need for improvement as we reach the 10-game mark of the season. The stats reveal troubling trends, including a poor save percentage and a high goals-against-per-60 rate. I'm concerned about the goaltending, particularly the need for a reliable option moving forward, especially with injuries affecting our roster. I also touch on special teams, noting power-play progress while acknowledging ongoing penalty-kill issues. The forwards are struggling to generate consistent offense, with only one line showing reliable production. I emphasize the urgency of finding rhythm, especially given the competitive nature of our division. 01:15 - Disappointment in the Loss 02:30 - Goaltending Issues 06:20 - Defensive Breakdown and Goals Against 09:00 - Long-Term Goaltending Concerns 12:00 - Special Teams Performance 14:10 - Forward Line Consistency Problems 20:30 - Overall Team Outlook and Future Games Sponsor: Richmond Vona
In this episode of the Expected Buffalo podcast, we dive into the recent performance of the Buffalo Sabres as they wrapped up a challenging stretch in the Atlantic Division. Despite tough opponents like the Florida Panthers, Montreal Canadiens, and Toronto Maple Leafs, the Sabres secured six of eight possible points, a positive takeaway given the circumstances, including the absence of key player Rasmus Dahlin. We discuss the competitive nature of the Atlantic Division, where seven of eight teams currently hold a record above .500. While the Sabres have shown resilience and flashes of potential, particularly from young defensemen like Power and Samuelsson, concerns remain about consistency and special teams. The penalty kill has been particularly troubling, ranking among the league's worst, and the power play has also struggled significantly. As we analyze the team's statistics, we note that while their five-on-five play shows promise, with solid expected goals metrics, the actual goal differential remains a concern. The Sabres have trailed significantly in games, which adds stress and could impact their long-term performance. In the second half of the episode, we shift our focus to the goaltending situation. The Sabres are giving up too many goals, and both Luukkonen and Ellis have faced criticism for their performances. We also touch on the ongoing discussions surrounding Connor Hellebuyck and the potential for a trade, considering the Sabres' need for a reliable goaltender. Looking ahead, the Sabres have two crucial games this week against the Philadelphia Flyers and the Washington Capitals. 00:35 - Division Week Recap 06:57 - Five-on-Five Performance Analysis 12:39 - Special Teams Statistics 20:25 - Sabres Goaltending Performance 25:51 - Connor Hellebuyck Trade Talks 39:36 - Looking Ahead to Upcoming Games Sponsors: Richmond Vona | We Sew It Buffalo
In this episode of the Expected Buffalo Postgame Show, we dive into the Sabres' latest game, where they managed to secure a win despite some glaring issues on the ice. The team continues to live on the edge in high-scoring games, and while I had more negative notes than positive, the key takeaway is that they earned two points, bringing their total to five of six on this Atlantic Division trip. We discussed the team's performance, highlighting shots and expected-goals statistics that showed a close contest against Toronto. Despite some defensive lapses and turnovers, particularly from forwards like Doan and Thompson, the Sabres found a way to turn it on in the third period. The absence of Rasmus Dahlin was felt, but there's hope he might return for the next game. I addressed the struggles of certain players, including Doan, who seems to be dealing with a lower-body injury, and Thompson, who, while scoring, has been inconsistent in his play. The penalty kill remains a significant concern, with players out of position and giving up quality chances. On a brighter note, I praised the performance of the Quinn, Ostlund, and Benson line, which has been the Sabres' best this season. Quinn stood out offensively, and if he can maintain this level, he could be a key player moving forward. 01:00 - Game Performance Analysis 02:30 - Defensive Struggles and Turnovers 04:45 - Goaltending Insights 06:30 - Player Performance: Doan and Thompson 08:40 - Penalty Kill Issues 10:50 - Positive Takeaways: Quinn, Ostlund, and Benson 15:00 - Looking Ahead: Upcoming Games and Injuries Sponsor: Richmond Vona
In this episode of the Expected Buffalo Post Game Show, we reflect on the Sabres' recent performance, where they managed to secure three out of four points against Florida and Montreal. While the games weren't perfect, there were positive signs reminiscent of last season's resilience. We discussed the importance of viewing the season as a marathon, especially with back-to-back games against division rivals and key players like Rasmus Dahlin missing. The team's ability to battle back from a 3-1 deficit to tie the game against Montreal was a highlight. We highlighted key players, including Luke, who played a crucial role in securing a point against Montreal, and Olem Zellweger, who stepped up with two significant goals. We also praised Noah Ostlund and Zach Benson for their consistent performances, while noting some struggles from Jack Quinn and the inconsistencies of Jiri Kulich and Kosta Helenius. As we look ahead to upcoming games against Toronto and Montreal, we recognize that while the season start hasn't been ideal, there are encouraging signs. The team is generating offense and showing resilience, which bodes well for the future. We aim to build on these performances and hope to see special teams improve as well. 00:22 - Assessing the Recent Games 02:08 - Player Highlights: Luukkonen and Zellweger 06:01 - Ostlund and Benson's Contributions 08:56 - Jack Quinn's Struggles 10:51 - Inconsistencies of Kulich and Helenius 12:30 - Overall Team Performance and Outlook 14:18 - Looking Ahead: Upcoming Games Sponsor: Richmond Vona
In this episode of the Expected Buffalo postgame show, I reflected on an exhilarating game that brought back memories of last season's thrilling comebacks. Despite being down two goals after two periods, I felt it was the team's most complete performance of the season. The players showed better transition movement, a strong forecheck, and a synchronized defense, reminiscent of last year's squad. Owen Power was the standout player, arguably having his best game as a Sabre. His third-period contributions were pivotal, culminating in the overtime winner. I praised his ability to hold the puck and make smart plays, which exemplified the team's offensive philosophy of making the extra pass. Colten Ellis faced some challenges early on but rebounded with crucial saves in the third period and overtime, earning him the starting position for the next game against Dallas. The Ostlund-Benson-Quinn line continued to impress, showcasing speed and confidence, while the new fourth line performed well defensively. However, I noted concerns about the first line of Thompson, Norris, and Doan, which struggled for the third consecutive game. Overall, the team showed signs of improvement and resilience, which is promising for the season ahead. Sponsor: Richmond Vona
In this episode of the podcast, we dive into the Buffalo Sabres' disappointing 6-3 loss to the Columbus Blue Jackets in their season opener. We started by analyzing the line combinations, particularly Tage Thompson playing center and Norris' performance, which I felt didn't contribute much after a promising start. I also highlighted Jack Quinn's strong performance, noting his aggressive forechecking and scoring opportunities, including a near-tying goal that hit the post. Special teams were a significant focus, as the Sabres went 0 for 5 on the power play, including a lackluster two-minute 5-on-3. I expressed my frustration with the power play's stagnant movement, which mirrored last year's struggles. The penalty kill allowed two goals, and I questioned the decision to have Jack Quinn on the PK, although I didn't blame him for the goals. Goaltending was another topic of discussion, with our goalie finishing the game at 76% save percentage. While I felt he could have made a couple more saves, I emphasized that the defense needed to tie up sticks better in front of the net. Looking ahead, I stressed the importance of the upcoming home opener against the Chicago Blackhawks and the need to capitalize on a five-game homestand. With tough opponents on the horizon, the Sabres must start strong and build momentum early in the season. 01:09 - Line Combinations and Player Performances 02:56 - Jack Quinn's Strong Performance 04:02 - Power Play Struggles 08:14 - Goaltending Performance Review 11:01 - Positives from the Game 12:35 - Kulich's Ice Time 15:44 - Looking Ahead: Upcoming Games and Expectations Sponsor: Richmond Vona
In this episode of the Expected Buffalo podcast, we dive into the excitement surrounding the upcoming Buffalo Sabres season, which kicks off tomorrow in Columbus. We reflect on the significant shift in mindset for the Sabres, who are entering the season after a playoff run for the first time in 15 years. The pressure is no longer about breaking a playoff drought, but about proving last year's success wasn't a fluke. We emphasize the importance of patience as the team navigates the long 84-game season, encouraging fans to take a more measured approach to the season's ups and downs. We highlight the Atlantic Division as one of the league's toughest and analyze the competition, including teams like Florida, Tampa Bay, and Toronto. We discuss the Sabres' scoring potential, special teams, and goaltending situation, expressing confidence in their ability to score goals despite some roster changes. As we wrap up, I share my season predictions. Finally, we preview the opening night matchup against the Columbus Blue Jackets, discussing the Sabres' lineup changes and the challenges they may face. 02:00 - Lineup News and Injuries 04:00 - High-Level Overview of the Sabres 08:00 - Atlantic Division Analysis 16:00 - Scoring Potential 19:00 - Special Teams Overview 22:00 - Goaltending Situation 27:00 - Season Predictions 30:00 - Game Preview: Sabres vs. Blue Jackets Sponsors: We Sew It Buffalo | Richmond Vona
The Buffalo Sabres announced their opening night roster, which will feature 14 forwards, six defensemen, and three goaltenders. One surprise was Conor Timmins going on injured reserve to start the season, meaning he'll miss the opener on Thursday. Sponsors: We Sew It Buffalo | Richmond Vona
In this short shift episode of Expected Buffalo, I dive into the conclusion of the Sabres' preseason, focusing primarily on the injuries that have impacted the team as we approach the regular season. The goaltending situation is particularly pressing, with Alex Lyon and Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen both injured, leaving Colten Ellis as the only healthy goaltender. I discuss the implications and Ellis' potential to take on a starting role as the season begins. Although he didn't get a start in the preseason, I was impressed with Ellis' performance when he stepped in, noting his calm, confident presence in the crease. Additionally, I touch on the Sabres' recent signing of veteran defenseman Matt Grzelcyk and the team's roster decisions as they prepare for the regular season. With roster announcements due soon, I speculate on who might end up on injured reserve and how that will affect the lineup. As we gear up for the NHL season, I express my excitement for the upcoming games and encourage listeners to subscribe to Expected Buffalo for more content. I also highlight our goal of reaching 1,000 subscribers on YouTube before the season starts, emphasizing the community's support in achieving this milestone. 00:12 - Preseason Wrap-Up and Injury Overview 01:46 - Goaltending Injury Concerns 06:40 - Roster Decisions and Waivers 10:02 - Jiri Kulich's Situation Sponsors: We Sew It Buffalo | Richmond Vona
In this episode of "The Short Shift," we dive into the pressing topic of injuries on the blue line following our second preseason game. We discuss the current status of Mattias Samuelsson, who is out with a lower-body injury and is expected to be week-to-week, and Olen Zellweger, who is in concussion protocol. While I believe Zellweger may return for the season opener, Samuelsson's situation is more concerning, and I emphasize the importance of him taking the time he needs to recover fully. We also explore the implications of these injuries on the team's defensive lineup, particularly the increased pressure on Rasmus Dahlin and Owen Power. I express reservations about pairing them, as it could limit our overall defensive effectiveness. Instead, I highlight the opportunity for players like Louis Crevier and Zach Metsa to step up and fill the gaps left by the injured defensemen. Additionally, we touch on the organizational depth at defense, addressing concerns about relying on players like Ryan Johnson and Dennis Gilbert. I reassure listeners that while depth is always a concern, I believe the team is well-equipped to handle these early-season challenges. Finally, I answer a fan question about organizational depth, reiterating my confidence in our current roster and our players' ability to step up when needed. 01:07 - Injuries on the Blue Line 01:50 - Olen Zellweger's Concussion Protocol 02:55 - Mattias Samuelsson's Lower Body Injury 05:35 - Opportunities for Other Defensemen 08:27 - Roster Battles for Defensemen 10:46 - Fan Question on Organizational Depth Sponsor: Richmond Vona | We Sew It Buffalo
The Buffalo Sabres won their second preseason game against the Columbus Blue Jackets by a score of 5-1. I discussed a few notes, mostly good but with some bad news too, from the game. Power play Penalty kill forwards Ostlund and Benson McLeod and Norris rotation at center Samuelsson and Zellweger injuries Presented by Richmond Vona
In this episode of Expected Buffalo, I dive into the excitement of game night as the Sabres face off against the Penguins in their preseason opener. I share my thoughts on the teams' performance, noting that both rosters featured mostly AHL players. I highlight a few key players to watch, including Jiri Kulich, who returned to the ice after a significant injury, and Radim Mrtka, who showed signs of improvement as the game progressed. I also discuss the power play, which saw a goal from Jake Richard, showcasing his scoring ability. The episode also covers the analytics team's recent power-play report, which aims to improve the team's performance in this area. I emphasize the importance of data-driven decisions and the need for creativity in the Sabres' power play strategy. Looking ahead, I preview the upcoming game against the Columbus Blue Jackets and anticipate a more NHL-heavy lineup. I address the new preseason rules that limit how many games experienced players can play, adding complexity to roster decisions. The episode concludes by highlighting the key player series starting tomorrow, focusing on Mattias Samuelsson and his crucial role in the team's defense. As always, I encourage listeners to subscribe to our YouTube channel for more content throughout the season. Thank you for tuning in, and I look forward to discussing the next game with you! 03:20 - Game Analysis: Sabres vs. Penguins 06:10 - Power Play Report Discussion 10:36 - Power Play Strategies and Improvements 15:55 - Upcoming Game Preview: Sabres vs. Blue Jackets 19:29 - Preseason Rules and Roster Decisions 22:56 - Key Player Series Introduction Sponsors: Richmond Vona | We Sew It Buffalo
In this episode of the Expected Buffalo podcast, we introduce a new format for our show, moving away from the traditional offering name and style. We're excited to present shorter, quick-hitter episodes that offer concise insights and updates, ideally multiple times a week. Today, we focus on the recent eight-year contract Noah Ostlund signed with the Sabres, worth $6.6 million in average annual value. We discuss the contract's implications, including its bonus structure and no-trade clause, as well as Ostlund's performance metrics. Despite having played only 60 games last season, Ostlund showed promise as a two-way player, contributing significantly when on the ice. We acknowledge the potential risks, particularly regarding his injury history, but ultimately view this contract as a proactive and smart move for the Sabres' future.
In this episode of the Expected Buffalo podcast, I decided to take a break from discussing Connor Hellebuyck, despite the high interest in that topic. Instead, I focused on the upcoming season and the pressing question of how the team will replace Alex Tuch, who was a significant contributor last season with 33 goals and 66 points. With training camp just around the corner, I explored the current roster, noting that the team has largely retained its forward group, with the addition of younger players like Ostlubd, Helenius, and Kulich. I acknowledged Tuch's importance on and off the ice, emphasizing that his absence will be felt, particularly in leadership and scoring. I highlighted Jack Quinn as a key player who may step up to fill Tuch's role, discussing his potential for growth after a respectable season. Additionally, I touched on the importance of special teams, particularly the penalty kill, where Tuch's absence leaves a significant gap. I raised questions about who will take on those responsibilities and how the team will manage the minutes lost.Thank you for listening, and don't forget to check out our end-of-cottage-season sale! 01:18 - Replacing Alex Tuck: Overview 03:19 - Jack Quinn's Role and Expectations 09:31 - The Kids Group: Kulich, Ostlund, and Helenius 16:31 - Benson's Impact and Future 19:44 - Special Teams and Penalty Kill Concerns 23:20 - Committee Approach to Replacing Tuch
In this episode of the Expected Buffalo podcast, I dive into the latest developments surrounding Connor Hellebuyck and his trade request from the Winnipeg Jets. With training camp just a few weeks away, Hellebuyck has publicly acknowledged his desire to be moved, putting pressure on the Jets to act. I discuss the implications of this announcement, including the potential for a trade before camp opens, and reflect on how the Jets' offseason strategy may have led to this situation. I take listeners back to the NHL Draft, where the Sabres had a significant offer on the table involving their fourth overall pick, but ultimately, the deal did not materialize. As we move through the summer, I outline the challenges the Sabres face in acquiring Hellebuyck, including the need for a goaltender with term and the complexities of salary cap management. Throughout the episode, I explore various trade scenarios, potential players involved, and the competition from other teams like San Jose, New Jersey, and Carolina. I emphasize the importance of finding the right package that meets both the Sabres' and Jets' needs while navigating the intricacies of player contracts and no-trade clauses. 01:00 - Hellebuyck's Trade Request 02:30 - Winnipeg's Dilemma 04:00 - Sabres' Interest in Hellebuyck 05:30 - Draft Day Offers 07:00 - July 1st Trade Talks 08:30 - Current Trade Landscape 09:30 - Goaltender Needs 12:00 - Cap Space Challenges 18:00 - Center Position Concerns 21:00 - Evaluating Trade Packages 24:00 - Competition for Hellebuyck
In this episode of Expected Buffalo, I return after a month-long break, feeling refreshed and ready to dive back into hockey discussions. I touch on the quiet state of the league, particularly after the 4th of July, and discuss some minor trades, including the Sabres' trade of Stiven Sardarian to the Carolina Hurricanes. I also highlight concerns regarding a few prospects in the Sabres' system, particularly focusing on Poltapov and Kleber. I finally present my article on Olen Zellweger, discussing his fit within the Sabres' system, his offensive upside, and the concerns surrounding his defensive play. I compare him to Crevier, emphasizing the need for a rotation among defensemen as we head into the season. As we look around the league, I mention the status of players like Dylan Larkin and Connor Hellebuyck, who remain with their respective teams despite trade rumors. 02:00 - Prospect Updates and Trades 04:30 - Concerns Over Prospects in the System 07:00 - Recent Prospect Rankings and Discussions 10:30 - Zellweger Article Overview 19:30 - League Updates and Player Status 22:00 - Expected Scouting and Future Plans 25:00 - Closing Thoughts and Upcoming Events
We're now a few weeks past the start of free agency, and it has gone quiet for the most part in the NHL. In this episode, we discuss the breakdown of Louis Crevier at expectedbuffalo.com. Also, get into some chatter on a few rumors still circulating. 2:45 - Crevier Breakdown 19:25 - Never-ending Hellebuyck rumors 26:35 - Patrick Kane 29:00 - Jack Quinn
With the Fourth of July passing, we move into cottage season on the NHL calendar. There may still be a few moves around the league, but history dictates that most teams are done changing their rosters. The Buffalo Sabres didn't make any significant additions, but still had roster holes to fill. Did they do enough? 3:53 - Roster Departures 11:36 - Roster Additions 21:06 - What didn't happen 25:31 - Still on the board (Patrick Kane) 29:50 - Current team 36:57 - What now?
The 2026 NHL Draft weekend is over, and now we're heading into the free agent market opening on July 1st. We recap draft weekend for the Buffalo Sabres, including the situation with Connor Hellebuyck. Then we shift the focus to free agent options. 1:30 - NHL Draft Weekend 5:33 - Connor Hellebuyck 13:39 - Free Agent Options
Let's catch up on the latest with the Buffalo Sabres with the first round of the 2026 NHL Draft less than 24 hours away. 2:45 - Fourth Overall Pick 13:35 - Trade rumors 21:20 - Peyton Krebs Sponsor: One Pie Pizza | Hiller and Comerford
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